Archrock Stock Price Prediction
| AROC Stock | USD 24.96 0.90 3.74% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.622 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3173 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6745 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8386 | Wall Street Target Price 31.625 |
Using Archrock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Archrock from the perspective of Archrock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Archrock using Archrock's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Archrock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Archrock's stock price.
Archrock Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Archrock's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Archrock. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Archrock stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 22.7477 | Short Percent 0.0426 | Short Ratio 4.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.1 M | 50 Day MA 27.0338 |
Archrock Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Archrock's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Archrock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Archrock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Archrock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Archrock's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Archrock.
Archrock Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Archrock's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archrock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archrock's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archrock stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archrock's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Archrock to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Archrock because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Archrock after-hype prediction price | USD 24.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Archrock contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Archrock will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Archrock trading at USD 24.96, that is roughly USD 0.0128 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Archrock's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Archrock options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Archrock |
Archrock After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Archrock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Archrock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Archrock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Archrock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Archrock's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Archrock's historical news coverage. Archrock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.98 and 27.96, respectively. We have considered Archrock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Archrock is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Archrock is based on 3 months time horizon.
Archrock Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Archrock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Archrock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Archrock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.99 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.96 | 24.97 | 0.04 |
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Archrock Hype Timeline
Archrock is presently traded for 24.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Archrock is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 24.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Archrock is about 1205.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.96. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.16 B. Net Income was 172.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 699.09 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Archrock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Archrock Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Archrock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Archrock's future price movements. Getting to know how Archrock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Archrock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PUMP | ProPetro Holding Corp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 4.09 | (4.40) | 28.65 | |
| WTTR | Select Energy Services | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.99 | (5.28) | 10.92 | |
| USAC | USA Compression Partners | 1.29 | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.17 | 3.73 | (3.35) | 13.09 | |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | (2.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 4.89 | (6.50) | 16.24 | |
| MRC | MRC Global | (0.11) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.22 | (4.41) | 12.66 |
Archrock Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Archrock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Archrock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Archrock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Archrock Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Archrock stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Archrock, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Archrock based on analysis of Archrock hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Archrock's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Archrock's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0656 | 0.0404 | 0.0274 | 0.0415 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.63 | 2.4 | 3.48 | 3.31 |
Story Coverage note for Archrock
The number of cover stories for Archrock depends on current market conditions and Archrock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Archrock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Archrock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Archrock Short Properties
Archrock's future price predictability will typically decrease when Archrock's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Archrock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Archrock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archrock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 162.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Archrock Stock analysis
When running Archrock's price analysis, check to measure Archrock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archrock is operating at the current time. Most of Archrock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archrock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archrock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archrock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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