Alexandria Real Estate Stock Price Prediction
| ARE Stock | USD 99.16 2.51 2.60% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.484 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6039 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.799 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.0544 | Wall Street Target Price 117.9167 |
Using Alexandria Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alexandria Real Estate from the perspective of Alexandria Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alexandria Real using Alexandria Real's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alexandria using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alexandria Real's stock price.
Alexandria Real Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Alexandria Real's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Alexandria. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Alexandria Real stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 110.6367 | Short Percent 0.0221 | Short Ratio 2.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 98.2234 |
Alexandria Real Estate Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alexandria Real's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alexandria. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alexandria can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alexandria Real Estate. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alexandria Real's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alexandria Real.
Alexandria Real Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Alexandria Real's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alexandria Real Estate stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alexandria Real's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alexandria Real stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alexandria Real's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alexandria Real to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alexandria because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alexandria Real after-hype prediction price | USD 99.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alexandria contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alexandria Real Estate will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Alexandria Real trading at USD 99.16, that is roughly USD 0.0409 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alexandria Real's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alexandria Real Estate options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Alexandria |
Alexandria Real After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alexandria Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alexandria Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alexandria Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alexandria Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alexandria Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alexandria Real's historical news coverage. Alexandria Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.48 and 100.84, respectively. We have considered Alexandria Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alexandria Real is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alexandria Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alexandria Real Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alexandria Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alexandria Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alexandria Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
99.16 | 99.16 | 0.00 |
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Alexandria Real Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 Alexandria Real Estate is traded for 99.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alexandria is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 87.5%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alexandria Real is about 1177.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.16. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alexandria Real Estate last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2025. The entity had 100:1 split on the 30th of July 2002. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Alexandria Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alexandria Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alexandria Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alexandria Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Alexandria Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alexandria Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | (1.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.70 | (5.21) | 11.60 | |
| SLG | SL Green Realty | (1.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (3.81) | 9.07 | |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corp | 0.20 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.51 | (3.90) | 12.11 | |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.64 | (3.27) | 7.07 | |
| DEI | Douglas Emmett | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.28 | (4.39) | 10.12 | |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.58 | (7.42) | 21.69 | |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.42 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.20 | (3.17) | 7.26 | |
| OFC | Corporate Office Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BXP | Boston Properties | 0.63 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.43 | (3.90) | 10.95 | |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | (0.11) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.64 | (4.27) | 10.62 | |
| PDM | Piedmont Office Realty | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.91 | (3.74) | 12.31 |
Alexandria Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alexandria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alexandria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alexandria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alexandria Real Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alexandria Real stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alexandria Real Estate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alexandria Real based on analysis of Alexandria Real hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alexandria Real's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alexandria Real's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0322 | 0.0391 | 0.0535 | 0.043 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.1 | 7.51 | 5.39 | 5.88 |
Story Coverage note for Alexandria Real
The number of cover stories for Alexandria Real depends on current market conditions and Alexandria Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alexandria Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alexandria Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alexandria Real Short Properties
Alexandria Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alexandria Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alexandria Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alexandria Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alexandria Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 552.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Alexandria Stock analysis
When running Alexandria Real's price analysis, check to measure Alexandria Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexandria Real is operating at the current time. Most of Alexandria Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexandria Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexandria Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexandria Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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