Apple Hospitality Reit Stock Price Prediction
| APLE Stock | USD 13.53 0.38 2.89% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.376 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8133 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8533 | Wall Street Target Price 16.3333 |
Using Apple Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apple Hospitality REIT from the perspective of Apple Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Apple Hospitality using Apple Hospitality's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Apple using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Apple Hospitality's stock price.
Apple Hospitality Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Apple Hospitality's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Apple. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Apple Hospitality stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 14.901 | Short Percent 0.0568 | Short Ratio 4.17 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.8 M | 50 Day MA 14.9208 |
Apple Hospitality REIT Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Apple Hospitality's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Apple. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Apple can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Apple Hospitality REIT. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Apple Hospitality's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Apple Hospitality.
Apple Hospitality Implied Volatility | 1.27 |
Apple Hospitality's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Apple Hospitality REIT stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Apple Hospitality's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Apple Hospitality stock will not fluctuate a lot when Apple Hospitality's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Apple Hospitality to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Apple because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Apple Hospitality after-hype prediction price | USD 13.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Apple contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Apple Hospitality REIT will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0794% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Apple Hospitality trading at USD 13.53, that is roughly USD 0.0107 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Apple Hospitality's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Apple Hospitality REIT options at the current volatility level of 1.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Apple |
Apple Hospitality After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Apple Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apple Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apple Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Apple Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Apple Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apple Hospitality's historical news coverage. Apple Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.87 and 15.05, respectively. We have considered Apple Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Apple Hospitality is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple Hospitality REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
Apple Hospitality Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apple Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apple Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apple Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.59 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.53 | 13.46 | 0.52 |
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Apple Hospitality Hype Timeline
Apple Hospitality REIT is presently traded for 13.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Apple is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Apple Hospitality is about 929.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.49. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Apple Hospitality REIT last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2025. The entity had 1:2 split on the 18th of May 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Apple Hospitality Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Apple Hospitality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Apple Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apple Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how Apple Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apple Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PK | Park Hotels Resorts | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.60 | (2.98) | 9.76 | |
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.20 | (2.89) | 9.19 | |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties | (0.78) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.22 | (2.76) | 7.57 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | (0.29) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.40 | (4.87) | 10.19 | |
| SHO | Sunstone Hotel Investors | (0.72) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.14 | (2.69) | 8.41 | |
| HST | Host Hotels Resorts | 0.30 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.69 | (2.81) | 7.93 | |
| SVC | Service Properties Trust | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 5.86 | (7.14) | 18.11 | |
| RLJ | RLJ Lodging Trust | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.82 | (3.25) | 7.62 | |
| HT | Hersha Hospitality Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Apple Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apple price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apple using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apple charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Apple Hospitality Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Apple Hospitality stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Apple Hospitality REIT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Apple Hospitality based on analysis of Apple Hospitality hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Apple Hospitality's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Apple Hospitality's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0386 | 0.0626 | 0.0658 | 0.0761 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.92 | 2.83 | 2.59 | 2.46 |
Story Coverage note for Apple Hospitality
The number of cover stories for Apple Hospitality depends on current market conditions and Apple Hospitality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apple Hospitality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apple Hospitality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Apple Hospitality Short Properties
Apple Hospitality's future price predictability will typically decrease when Apple Hospitality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apple Hospitality REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apple Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apple Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 241.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Apple Stock analysis
When running Apple Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Apple Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apple Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Apple Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apple Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apple Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apple Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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