Ametek Inc Stock Price Prediction
| AME Stock | USD 188.18 1.23 0.66% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.129 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.751 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.136 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.7853 | Wall Street Target Price 199.1506 |
Using Ametek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ametek Inc from the perspective of Ametek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ametek using Ametek's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ametek using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ametek's stock price.
Ametek Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ametek's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ametek. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ametek stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 175.1122 | Short Percent 0.0096 | Short Ratio 1.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 183.607 |
Ametek Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ametek's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ametek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ametek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ametek Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ametek's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ametek.
Ametek Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Ametek's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ametek Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ametek's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ametek stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ametek's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ametek to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ametek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ametek after-hype prediction price | USD 189.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ametek contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ametek Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Ametek trading at USD 188.18, that is roughly USD 0.04 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ametek's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ametek Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Ametek |
Ametek After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ametek at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ametek or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ametek, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ametek Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ametek's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ametek's historical news coverage. Ametek's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 188.08 and 190.20, respectively. We have considered Ametek's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ametek is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ametek Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ametek Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ametek is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ametek backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ametek, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.06 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
188.18 | 189.14 | 0.01 |
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Ametek Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February Ametek Inc is traded for 188.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Ametek is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 189.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Ametek is about 157.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 188.22. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.94 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.38 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.48 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Ametek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ametek Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ametek's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ametek's future price movements. Getting to know how Ametek's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ametek may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGG | Graco Inc | 0.55 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.60 | (2.13) | 4.89 | |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | 0.92 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.00 | (1.66) | 7.69 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | 0.32 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.97 | (3.60) | 10.01 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.70 | (2.15) | 8.79 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 3.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.60 | (1.39) | 4.12 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 1.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.72 | (2.43) | 6.53 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 12.95 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.64 | (1.79) | 9.82 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (1.93) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.06 | (2.30) | 6.51 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.33 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.88 | (2.18) | 6.58 | |
| CXT | Crane NXT Co | 1.38 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.03 | 3.22 | (2.68) | 7.84 | |
| CIR | CIRCOR International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.14 | (2.71) | 7.23 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | (10.58) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.95 | (1.71) | 12.03 | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand | 1.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.38 | (2.48) | 10.46 |
Ametek Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ametek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ametek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ametek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ametek Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ametek stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ametek Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ametek based on analysis of Ametek hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ametek's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ametek's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006285 | 0.00606 | 0.006208 | 0.005897 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.23 | 5.76 | 6.01 | 6.31 |
Story Coverage note for Ametek
The number of cover stories for Ametek depends on current market conditions and Ametek's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ametek is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ametek's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ametek Short Properties
Ametek's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ametek's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ametek Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ametek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ametek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 232.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 374 M |
Complementary Tools for Ametek Stock analysis
When running Ametek's price analysis, check to measure Ametek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ametek is operating at the current time. Most of Ametek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ametek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ametek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ametek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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