Franklin Electric Co Stock Price Prediction

FELE Stock  USD 95.56  2.45  2.50%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin Electric's share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin Electric, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Franklin Electric's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Franklin Electric and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Franklin Electric's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Electric Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Franklin Electric's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.804
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.204
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.73
Wall Street Target Price
109
Using Franklin Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Electric Co from the perspective of Franklin Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin Electric using Franklin Electric's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin Electric's stock price.

Franklin Electric Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Franklin Electric's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Franklin. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Franklin Electric stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
101.0359
Short Percent
0.0169
Short Ratio
2.48
Shares Short Prior Month
501.7 K
50 Day MA
100.1388

Franklin Electric Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Franklin Electric's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Franklin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Franklin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Franklin Electric Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Franklin Electric's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Franklin Electric.

Franklin Electric Implied Volatility

    
  0.44  
Franklin Electric's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin Electric Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin Electric's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin Electric stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin Electric's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin Electric to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Franklin Electric after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 95.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Franklin contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Franklin Electric Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Franklin Electric trading at USD 95.56, that is roughly USD 0.0263 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Franklin Electric's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Franklin Electric Co options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Franklin Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.00100.29101.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.2995.7197.14
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
93.73103.00114.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.710.730.75
Details

Franklin Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Franklin Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Franklin Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Franklin Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Electric's historical news coverage. Franklin Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.16 and 97.00, respectively. We have considered Franklin Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
95.56
95.58
After-hype Price
97.00
Upside
Franklin Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.

Franklin Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.42
  0.02 
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
95.56
95.58
0.02 
232.79  
Notes

Franklin Electric Hype Timeline

Franklin Electric is currently traded for 95.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Franklin is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 95.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Electric is about 166.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95.53. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.02 B. Net Income was 181.61 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 717.28 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Franklin Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Franklin Electric Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GGGGraco Inc(1.76)10 per month 0.00 (0.02) 1.60 (2.25) 4.96 
AMEAmetek Inc 0.38 10 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.05 (1.97) 4.95 
FLSFlowserve(1.13)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.74 (4.18) 10.01 
DCIDonaldson(1.53)9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 1.91 (2.15) 4.34 
IEXIDEX Corporation 1.74 10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.95 (2.43) 12.03 
KAIKadant Inc 2.94 10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.63 (3.27) 13.30 
ITTITT Inc(1.03)11 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.91 (2.75) 7.23 
CRCrane Company(7.87)11 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.75 (3.24) 16.18 
TNCTennant Company(0.41)11 per month 1.69  0.06  2.35 (2.58) 7.66 
CIRCIRCOR International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OFLXOmega Flex(1.07)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.92 (3.59) 9.62 
LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLC(0.70)7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.60 (4.10) 11.40 
HLIOHelios Technologies(1.85)12 per month 0.00 (0.28) 2.65 (4.00) 11.98 
NPOEnpro Industries 0.12 8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.17 (3.38) 10.90 
HURCHurco Companies(0.61)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.14 (4.30) 23.02 

Franklin Electric Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Franklin Electric Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Franklin Electric stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin Electric Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin Electric based on analysis of Franklin Electric hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin Electric's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin Electric's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.010.0093440.0105
Price To Sales Ratio1.812.162.2

Story Coverage note for Franklin Electric

The number of cover stories for Franklin Electric depends on current market conditions and Franklin Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Franklin Electric Short Properties

Franklin Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin Electric Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments220.5 B

Complementary Tools for Franklin Stock analysis

When running Franklin Electric's price analysis, check to measure Franklin Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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