Les Hotels (France) Price Prediction
| ALLHB Stock | EUR 75.50 3.00 3.82% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Les Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Les Hotels Bav from the perspective of Les Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Les Hotels to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Les because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Les Hotels after-hype prediction price | EUR 75.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Les |
Les Hotels After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Les Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Les Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Les Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Les Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Les Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Les Hotels' historical news coverage. Les Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.00 and 78.00, respectively. We have considered Les Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Les Hotels is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Les Hotels Bav is based on 3 months time horizon.
Les Hotels Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Les Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Les Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Les Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
75.50 | 75.50 | 0.00 |
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Les Hotels Hype Timeline
Les Hotels Bav is presently traded for 75.50on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Les is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Les Hotels is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.50. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Les Hotels was presently reported as 12.7. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of June 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Les Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Les Hotels Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Les Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Les Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Les Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Les Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HDP | Les Htels de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.41 | 0.02 | 9.92 | (10.07) | 31.18 | |
| ALMOU | Moulinvest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.23 | 4.40 | (3.73) | 13.55 | |
| ALDBL | Bernard Loisea | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.07 | 3.73 | (3.61) | 14.00 | |
| ALIMO | Groupimo SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.46 | |
| ALVAP | Kumulus Vape SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 4.03 | (2.52) | 10.70 |
Les Hotels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Les price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Les using various technical indicators. When you analyze Les charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Les Hotels Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Les Hotels stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Les Hotels Bav, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Les Hotels based on analysis of Les Hotels hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Les Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Les Hotels's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Les Hotels
The number of cover stories for Les Hotels depends on current market conditions and Les Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Les Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Les Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Les Hotels Short Properties
Les Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Les Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Les Hotels Bav often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Les Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Les Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.9 M |
Additional Tools for Les Stock Analysis
When running Les Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Les Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Les Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Les Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Les Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Les Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Les Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.