American International Group Stock Price Prediction
| AIG Stock | USD 83.13 1.58 1.94% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 11.526 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.1343 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.7502 | Wall Street Target Price 84.6233 |
Using American International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American International Group from the perspective of American International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American International using American International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American International's stock price.
American International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in American International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards American. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of American International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 75.2923 | Short Percent 0.0253 | Short Ratio 2.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.7 M | 50 Day MA 76.2026 |
American International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American International Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American International.
American International Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
American International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American International Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American International stock will not fluctuate a lot when American International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American International after-hype prediction price | USD 82.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current American contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that American International Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With American International trading at USD 83.13, that is roughly USD 0.0218 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating American International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring American International Group options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
American |
American International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American International's historical news coverage. American International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.30 and 84.08, respectively. We have considered American International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American International is based on 3 months time horizon.
American International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.39 | 0.44 | 188.54 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
83.13 | 82.69 | 0.53 |
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American International Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 American International is traded for 83.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 188.54. American is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 82.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 75.96%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on American International is about 0.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 271.67. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.16. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American International has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.85. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of March 2025. The firm had 1:20 split on the 1st of July 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out American International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American International's future price movements. Getting to know how American International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQH | Axa Equitable Holdings | (0.54) | 9 per month | 2.20 | 0.12 | 3.32 | (4.54) | 9.18 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | (1.19) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (2.18) | 6.24 | |
| ORI | Old Republic International | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.11 | 1.91 | (2.58) | 6.06 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.48 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.52 | (2.11) | 8.71 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | 0.08 | 13 per month | 1.33 | 0.08 | 2.14 | (2.37) | 5.10 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (2.91) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 4.49 | (4.92) | 21.17 | |
| ARZGY | Assicurazioni Generali SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.28 | 2.28 | (1.50) | 4.83 | |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | 0.23 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.59 | (3.35) | 8.14 | |
| BRK-A | Berkshire Hathaway | 8,645 | 6 per month | 0.85 | 0.20 | 1.98 | (1.57) | 6.92 | |
| AXAHY | Axa SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESGR | Enstar Group Limited | 0.31 | 8 per month | 0.10 | 0.57 | 0.41 | (0.28) | 1.38 |
American International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American International Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American International based on analysis of American International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.021 | 0.0232 | 0.0197 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.03 | 1.62 | 1.6 |
Story Coverage note for American International
The number of cover stories for American International depends on current market conditions and American International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American International Short Properties
American International's future price predictability will typically decrease when American International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American International Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 657.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.8 B |
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American International's price analysis, check to measure American International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American International is operating at the current time. Most of American International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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