Air France (France) Price Prediction
| AF Stock | EUR 7.39 0.03 0.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Air France hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air France KLM SA from the perspective of Air France response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air France to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Air France after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Air |
Air France After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Air France at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air France or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Air France, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Air France Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Air France's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air France's historical news coverage. Air France's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.64 and 10.14, respectively. We have considered Air France's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Air France is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air France KLM is based on 3 months time horizon.
Air France Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Air France is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air France backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air France, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.39 | 7.39 | 0.00 |
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Air France Hype Timeline
Air France KLM is presently traded for 7.39on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Air is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Air France is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.39. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.24. Air France KLM recorded a loss per share of 0.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of July 2008. The firm had 10:1 split on the 28th of August 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Air France Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Air France Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Air France's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air France's future price movements. Getting to know how Air France's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air France may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AF | Air France KLM SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.83 | (4.87) | 16.55 | |
| MTU | Manitou BF SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.69 | (2.80) | 9.28 | |
| MVUS | Ossiam Minimum Variance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 3LLV | Granite 3x LVMH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.40 | (11.88) | 44.50 | |
| ADOT | 21Shares Polkadot ETP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.48 | 0.17 | 9.68 | (5.34) | 38.86 | |
| EKI | Ekinops SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.95 | (4.19) | 16.76 | |
| ORAP | Orapi SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | 0.0001 | 0.34 | (0.31) | 8.35 | |
| MEMS | Memscap Regpt | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 3.79 | (6.92) | 14.74 | |
| MALT | Malteries Franco Belges Socit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.06 | 3.10 | (2.17) | 7.82 | |
| MAAT | Maat Pharma SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0 | 2.41 | (3.23) | 12.11 |
Air France Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Air France Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Air France stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air France KLM SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air France based on analysis of Air France hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air France's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air France's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Air France
The number of cover stories for Air France depends on current market conditions and Air France's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air France is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air France's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Air France Short Properties
Air France's future price predictability will typically decrease when Air France's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air France KLM SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air France's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air France's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 427.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis
When running Air France's price analysis, check to measure Air France's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air France is operating at the current time. Most of Air France's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air France's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air France's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air France to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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