Lontium Semiconductor (China) Price Prediction
| 688486 Stock | 72.87 1.47 1.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.121 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.16 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.268 |
Using Lontium Semiconductor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lontium Semiconductor Corp from the perspective of Lontium Semiconductor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lontium Semiconductor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lontium because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lontium Semiconductor after-hype prediction price | CNY 74.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lontium |
Lontium Semiconductor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lontium Semiconductor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lontium Semiconductor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lontium Semiconductor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lontium Semiconductor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lontium Semiconductor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lontium Semiconductor's historical news coverage. Lontium Semiconductor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.47 and 79.21, respectively. We have considered Lontium Semiconductor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lontium Semiconductor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lontium Semiconductor is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lontium Semiconductor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lontium Semiconductor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lontium Semiconductor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lontium Semiconductor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 4.88 | 1.21 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
72.87 | 74.34 | 0.00 |
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Lontium Semiconductor Hype Timeline
Lontium Semiconductor is presently traded for 72.87on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Lontium is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 92.95%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lontium Semiconductor is about 3827.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.90. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2024. Lontium Semiconductor had 1.48:1 split on the 3rd of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Lontium Semiconductor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lontium Semiconductor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lontium Semiconductor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lontium Semiconductor's future price movements. Getting to know how Lontium Semiconductor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lontium Semiconductor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 300828 | Tianjin Ruixin Technology | 0.01 | 1 per month | 4.26 | 0.1 | 5.45 | (7.19) | 29.80 | |
| 002044 | Meinian Onehealth Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.61 | 0.08 | 4.90 | (4.71) | 18.07 | |
| 300777 | Sinofibers Technology Co | 0.53 | 1 per month | 3.83 | 0.08 | 11.04 | (5.07) | 31.89 | |
| 301078 | Kidswant Children Products | 0.03 | 3 per month | 4.27 | 0.14 | 12.72 | (8.39) | 29.87 | |
| 301293 | Sanbo Hospital Management | 0.13 | 1 per month | 3.91 | 0.09 | 9.10 | (6.00) | 25.33 | |
| 002217 | Holitech Technology Co | (0.02) | 1 per month | 3.11 | 0.21 | 5.17 | (5.04) | 10.46 | |
| 600186 | Lotus Health Group | (0.08) | 2 per month | 3.40 | 0.19 | 9.94 | (5.48) | 19.81 | |
| 002919 | Mingchen Health Co | 0.42 | 1 per month | 4.04 | 0.07 | 4.75 | (6.38) | 20.03 |
Lontium Semiconductor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lontium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lontium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lontium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lontium Semiconductor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lontium Semiconductor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lontium Semiconductor Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lontium Semiconductor based on analysis of Lontium Semiconductor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lontium Semiconductor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lontium Semiconductor's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Lontium Semiconductor
The number of cover stories for Lontium Semiconductor depends on current market conditions and Lontium Semiconductor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lontium Semiconductor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lontium Semiconductor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lontium Semiconductor Short Properties
Lontium Semiconductor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lontium Semiconductor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lontium Semiconductor Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lontium Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lontium Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0189 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.4 | |
| Shares Float | 42.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Lontium Stock analysis
When running Lontium Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure Lontium Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lontium Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Lontium Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lontium Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lontium Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lontium Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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