Xinjiang Daqo (China) Price Prediction

688303 Stock   25.13  0.22  0.87%   
As of 19th of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Xinjiang Daqo's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xinjiang Daqo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Xinjiang Daqo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xinjiang Daqo New, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xinjiang Daqo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.38)
Wall Street Target Price
28.37
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.28)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.60)
Using Xinjiang Daqo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xinjiang Daqo New from the perspective of Xinjiang Daqo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xinjiang Daqo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xinjiang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Xinjiang Daqo after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 25.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Xinjiang Daqo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7722.6528.53
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Xinjiang Daqo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Xinjiang Daqo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xinjiang Daqo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xinjiang Daqo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Xinjiang Daqo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Xinjiang Daqo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xinjiang Daqo's historical news coverage. Xinjiang Daqo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.34 and 31.10, respectively. We have considered Xinjiang Daqo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.13
25.22
After-hype Price
31.10
Upside
Xinjiang Daqo is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xinjiang Daqo New is based on 3 months time horizon.

Xinjiang Daqo Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xinjiang Daqo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xinjiang Daqo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xinjiang Daqo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.61 
5.88
  0.13 
  0.16 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.13
25.22
0.51 
2,800  
Notes

Xinjiang Daqo Hype Timeline

Xinjiang Daqo New is presently traded for 25.13on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Xinjiang is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.51%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Xinjiang Daqo is about 2229.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.29. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Xinjiang Daqo New recorded a loss per share of 0.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Xinjiang Daqo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Xinjiang Daqo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Xinjiang Daqo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xinjiang Daqo's future price movements. Getting to know how Xinjiang Daqo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xinjiang Daqo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600346Hengli Petrochemical Co 0.33 2 per month 1.67  0.13  4.87 (2.58) 16.60 
000949Xinxiang Chemical Fiber 0.42 1 per month 3.32  0.14  9.91 (5.61) 18.75 
002188Bus Online Co 0.25 2 per month 2.89  0.12  4.41 (4.51) 17.88 
002258Lier Chemical Co 0.03 1 per month 2.03  0.12  5.03 (3.41) 17.33 
002895Guizhou Chanhen Chemical 0.71 1 per month 2.34  0.12  6.34 (3.47) 18.27 
600259Rising Nonferrous Metals 0.29 2 per month 2.37  0.09  4.97 (3.67) 18.73 
601166Industrial Bank Co 0.05 2 per month 1.55  0.11  3.84 (2.41) 12.07 
000930Cofco Biochemical Anhui 0.03 1 per month 2.26  0.12  5.70 (2.83) 17.70 

Xinjiang Daqo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xinjiang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xinjiang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xinjiang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Xinjiang Daqo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Xinjiang Daqo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xinjiang Daqo New, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xinjiang Daqo based on analysis of Xinjiang Daqo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xinjiang Daqo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xinjiang Daqo's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Xinjiang Daqo

The number of cover stories for Xinjiang Daqo depends on current market conditions and Xinjiang Daqo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xinjiang Daqo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xinjiang Daqo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Xinjiang Daqo Short Properties

Xinjiang Daqo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xinjiang Daqo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xinjiang Daqo New often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xinjiang Daqo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinjiang Daqo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B

Complementary Tools for Xinjiang Stock analysis

When running Xinjiang Daqo's price analysis, check to measure Xinjiang Daqo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinjiang Daqo is operating at the current time. Most of Xinjiang Daqo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinjiang Daqo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinjiang Daqo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinjiang Daqo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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