Montage Technology (China) Price Prediction
| 688008 Stock | 75.48 4.51 5.64% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.324 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.34 | Wall Street Target Price 78 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.33 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.516 |
Using Montage Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Montage Technology Co from the perspective of Montage Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Montage Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Montage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Montage Technology after-hype prediction price | CNY 75.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Montage |
Montage Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Montage Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Montage Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Montage Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Montage Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Montage Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Montage Technology's historical news coverage. Montage Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.81 and 80.11, respectively. We have considered Montage Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Montage Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Montage Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Montage Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Montage Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Montage Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Montage Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 4.65 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
75.48 | 75.46 | 0.03 |
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Montage Technology Hype Timeline
Montage Technology is presently traded for 75.48on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Montage is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 75.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Montage Technology is about 93000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.48. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Montage Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Montage Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Montage Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Montage Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Montage Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Montage Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601615 | Ming Yang Smart | (0.20) | 2 per month | 2.38 | 0.19 | 7.78 | (3.82) | 18.14 | |
| 159681 | 159681 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.05 | 0.13 | 8.99 | (4.00) | 36.32 | |
| 159005 | 159005 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.96) | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.14 | |
| 300729 | Loctek Ergonomic Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.19 | 0.07 | 6.27 | (4.21) | 24.80 | |
| 002952 | Yes Optoelectronics Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.81 | 0.13 | 9.99 | (6.36) | 19.99 | |
| 516220 | 516220 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.11 | 5.26 | (3.03) | 17.74 | |
| 002096 | Hunan Nanling Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | 0.03 | 4.30 | (4.45) | 13.27 | |
| 002999 | Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.26 | 0.09 | 6.20 | (5.34) | 17.06 | |
| 300243 | Shandong Ruifeng Chemical | 0.15 | 2 per month | 3.95 | 0.11 | 10.41 | (5.67) | 31.77 | |
| 603269 | Jiangsu Seagull Cooling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.89 | 0.17 | 8.65 | (5.73) | 16.65 |
Montage Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Montage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Montage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Montage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Montage Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Montage Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Montage Technology Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Montage Technology based on analysis of Montage Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Montage Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Montage Technology's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Montage Technology
The number of cover stories for Montage Technology depends on current market conditions and Montage Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Montage Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Montage Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Montage Technology Short Properties
Montage Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Montage Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Montage Technology Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Montage Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Montage Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Montage Stock analysis
When running Montage Technology's price analysis, check to measure Montage Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Montage Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Montage Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Montage Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Montage Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Montage Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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