Industrial (China) Price Prediction

601398 Stock   6.80  0.01  0.15%   
As of 19th of March 2025, the relative strength index (RSI) of Industrial's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Industrial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Industrial and Commercial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Industrial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.042
Wall Street Target Price
6.17
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.24
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.005
Using Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Industrial and Commercial from the perspective of Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Industrial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 6.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.477.728.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.606.858.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Industrial and Commercial.

Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Industrial's historical news coverage. Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.55 and 8.05, respectively. We have considered Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.80
6.80
After-hype Price
8.05
Upside
Industrial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Industrial and Commercial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.23
 0.00  
  0.02 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.80
6.80
0.00 
2,460  
Notes

Industrial Hype Timeline

Industrial and Commercial is presently traded for 6.80on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Industrial is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Industrial is about 562.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.82. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.64. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Industrial and Commercial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.75. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of January 2025. The firm had 751:738 split on the 16th of November 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
603069Hainan Haiqi Transportation(0.66)1 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.63 (3.72) 14.55 
301131Super Dragon Engineering Plastics 2.31 1 per month 2.54  0.05  4.62 (4.26) 11.54 
002682Fujian Longzhou Transportation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.82 (5.46) 12.01 
300939Shenzhen AV Display Co 0.03 1 per month 2.94  0.05  3.27 (4.71) 12.02 
600114NBTM New Materials 0.09 4 per month 1.90  0.18  6.14 (3.91) 15.49 
301091Shenzhen Urban Transport 0.02 2 per month 0.00  0.02  4.16 (4.96) 11.77 
600158China Sports Industry(0.04)1 per month 0.00  0.01  4.09 (4.04) 15.65 
603357Anhui Transport Consulting 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  1.97 (2.90) 7.95 

Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Industrial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Industrial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Industrial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Industrial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Industrial and Commercial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Industrial based on analysis of Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Industrial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Industrial

The number of cover stories for Industrial depends on current market conditions and Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Industrial Short Properties

Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Industrial and Commercial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding356.4 B

Complementary Tools for Industrial Stock analysis

When running Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing