Hainan Haiqi (China) Price Prediction

603069 Stock   20.16  0.06  0.30%   
As of 1st of December 2024, the value of relative strength index of Hainan Haiqi's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hainan Haiqi, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hainan Haiqi's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hainan Haiqi Transportation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hainan Haiqi's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.46
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Using Hainan Haiqi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hainan Haiqi Transportation from the perspective of Hainan Haiqi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hainan Haiqi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hainan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hainan Haiqi after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 19.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hainan Haiqi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5017.5620.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8119.8722.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.02-0.005
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hainan Haiqi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hainan Haiqi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hainan Haiqi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hainan Haiqi Transpo.

Hainan Haiqi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hainan Haiqi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hainan Haiqi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hainan Haiqi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hainan Haiqi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hainan Haiqi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hainan Haiqi's historical news coverage. Hainan Haiqi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.79 and 22.91, respectively. We have considered Hainan Haiqi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.16
19.85
After-hype Price
22.91
Upside
Hainan Haiqi is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hainan Haiqi Transpo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hainan Haiqi Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hainan Haiqi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hainan Haiqi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hainan Haiqi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.51 
3.06
  0.31 
  0.01 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.16
19.85
1.54 
501.64  
Notes

Hainan Haiqi Hype Timeline

Hainan Haiqi Transpo is presently traded for 20.16on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Hainan is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.54%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Hainan Haiqi is about 22950.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.17. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 0.11. Hainan Haiqi Transpo last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Hainan Haiqi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hainan Haiqi Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hainan Haiqi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hainan Haiqi's future price movements. Getting to know how Hainan Haiqi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hainan Haiqi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hainan Haiqi Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hainan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hainan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hainan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hainan Haiqi Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hainan Haiqi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hainan Haiqi Transportation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hainan Haiqi based on analysis of Hainan Haiqi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hainan Haiqi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hainan Haiqi's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Hainan Haiqi

The number of cover stories for Hainan Haiqi depends on current market conditions and Hainan Haiqi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hainan Haiqi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hainan Haiqi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Hainan Haiqi Short Properties

Hainan Haiqi's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hainan Haiqi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hainan Haiqi Transportation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hainan Haiqi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hainan Haiqi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding316 M

Complementary Tools for Hainan Stock analysis

When running Hainan Haiqi's price analysis, check to measure Hainan Haiqi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hainan Haiqi is operating at the current time. Most of Hainan Haiqi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hainan Haiqi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hainan Haiqi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hainan Haiqi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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