Air China (China) Price Prediction

601111 Stock   8.47  0.43  5.35%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Air China's stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 9th of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Air, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Air China's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Air China Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Air China's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.17
Wall Street Target Price
7.05
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.09)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
Using Air China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air China Ltd from the perspective of Air China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air China to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Air China after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 8.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Air China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.996.408.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.738.1410.55
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Air China After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Air China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Air China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Air China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Air China's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air China's historical news coverage. Air China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.06 and 10.88, respectively. We have considered Air China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.47
8.47
After-hype Price
10.88
Upside
Air China is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air China is based on 3 months time horizon.

Air China Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Air China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
2.40
  0.03 
  0.05 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.47
8.47
0.00 
4,000  
Notes

Air China Hype Timeline

Air China is presently traded for 8.47on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Air is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Air China is about 2470.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.52. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Air China was presently reported as 2.44. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Air China last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Air China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Air China Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Air China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air China's future price movements. Getting to know how Air China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Air China Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Air China Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Air China stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air China Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air China based on analysis of Air China hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air China's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air China's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Air China

The number of cover stories for Air China depends on current market conditions and Air China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Air China Short Properties

Air China's future price predictability will typically decrease when Air China's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air China Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.2 B

Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis

When running Air China's price analysis, check to measure Air China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air China is operating at the current time. Most of Air China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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