Air China (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

601111 Stock   7.35  0.14  1.94%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Air China Ltd is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Air China buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 601111 positions.
  
Check out Air China Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Air China Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Air China Buy or Sell Advice

The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air China Ltd. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air China Ltd or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air China's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air ChinaBuy Air China
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Air China Ltd has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of 0.1615 and Treynor Ratio of (0.26)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Air China. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Air China is not overpriced, please confirm all Air China fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, revenue, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to sales .

Air China Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air China generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 141.1 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.34 B.
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: G Sachs Prefers COSCO SHIP ENGY AIR CHINA as Oil Price Drop May Spur Restocking Activity - AASTOCKS.com

Air China Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air China's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air China's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air China daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air China Ltd price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air China returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air China.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-2.41
Potential Upside
3.02
Standard Deviation
2.06
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air China historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air China Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory212.8M(294.9M)(468.2M)(623.6M)(561.3M)(533.2M)
Investments(4.3B)1.1B(424.0M)(15.2B)(13.7B)(13.0B)
Change In Cash(3.1B)10.1B(5.3B)4.4B5.1B5.3B
Net Borrowings(18.2B)17.6B7.0B24.7B28.4B29.8B
Depreciation20.4B20.9B21.1B27.1B31.2B20.2B
Dividends Paid6.1B5.8B6.6B7.5B8.6B6.1B
Capital Expenditures12.0B6.1B7.6B22.8B20.5B10.7B
Net Income(14.4B)(16.6B)(38.6B)(1.0B)(941.7M)(988.8M)
Change To Netincome6.2B6.2B2.9B3.8B3.4B4.1B
End Period Cash Flow5.8B15.9B10.6B15.0B17.3B10.4B
Free Cash Flow(10.6B)6.8B(24.4B)12.6B11.4B12.0B
Other Non Cash Items1.4B4.3B10.4B7.5B8.6B5.5B

Air China Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air China or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air China's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Air China Volatility Alert

Air China Ltd exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.51 and kurtosis of 2.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air China's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air China's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Air China Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air China's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air China's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air China and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air China or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air China's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air China by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air China to competition
FundamentalsAir ChinaPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0523-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0017-0.14
Profit Margin(0) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation326.07 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding12.49 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders66.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions6.39 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.78 X11.42 X
Revenue141.1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.34 B27.38 B
EBITDA12.71 B3.9 B
Net Income(1.05 B)570.98 M
Total Debt21.36 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations35.42 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.03) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth7.11 X4.89 X
Target Price7.05
Number Of Employees102.87 K18.84 K
Beta0.55-0.15
Market Capitalization128.25 B19.03 B
Total Asset335.3 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(30.5 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(77.98 B)1.48 B
Net Asset335.3 B

Air China Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air China Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air China Ltd? Buying financial instruments such as Air Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air China in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Cars Thematic Idea Now

Cars
Cars Theme
Domestic and international companies involved in manufacturing and serving automobiles and trucks. The Cars theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cars Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Air Stock

Air China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air China security.