Yunnan Yuntianhua (China) Price Prediction

600096 Stock   22.46  0.11  0.49%   
As of 19th of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Yunnan Yuntianhua's share price is approaching 40. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Yunnan Yuntianhua, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Yunnan Yuntianhua's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Yunnan Yuntianhua Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Yunnan Yuntianhua's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.542
Wall Street Target Price
27.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Using Yunnan Yuntianhua hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yunnan Yuntianhua Co from the perspective of Yunnan Yuntianhua response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Yunnan Yuntianhua to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Yunnan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Yunnan Yuntianhua after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 22.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Yunnan Yuntianhua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.0524.1726.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.820.830.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yunnan Yuntianhua. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yunnan Yuntianhua's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yunnan Yuntianhua's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yunnan Yuntianhua.

Yunnan Yuntianhua After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Yunnan Yuntianhua at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yunnan Yuntianhua or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yunnan Yuntianhua, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Yunnan Yuntianhua Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Yunnan Yuntianhua's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yunnan Yuntianhua's historical news coverage. Yunnan Yuntianhua's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.02 and 24.26, respectively. We have considered Yunnan Yuntianhua's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.46
22.14
After-hype Price
24.26
Upside
Yunnan Yuntianhua is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yunnan Yuntianhua is based on 3 months time horizon.

Yunnan Yuntianhua Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yunnan Yuntianhua is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yunnan Yuntianhua backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yunnan Yuntianhua, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
2.12
  0.32 
  0.11 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.46
22.14
1.42 
230.43  
Notes

Yunnan Yuntianhua Hype Timeline

Yunnan Yuntianhua is presently traded for 22.46on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Yunnan is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.42%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Yunnan Yuntianhua is about 681.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.57. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.92. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Yunnan Yuntianhua last dividend was issued on the 22nd of May 2024. The entity had 1.3:1 split on the 15th of November 2004. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Yunnan Yuntianhua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Yunnan Yuntianhua Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Yunnan Yuntianhua's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yunnan Yuntianhua's future price movements. Getting to know how Yunnan Yuntianhua's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yunnan Yuntianhua may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
300946Hengerda New Materials 0.53 1 per month 3.22  0.11  5.07 (4.94) 26.30 
002454Songz Automobile Air 0.13 1 per month 2.12  0.13  4.14 (3.51) 15.98 
688219Orinko Advanced Plastics 0.93 2 per month 2.97  0.17  6.91 (4.78) 25.70 
002465Guangzhou Haige Communications(0.22)1 per month 2.53  0.15  6.58 (4.83) 18.89 
600418Anhui Jianghuai Automobile 1.18 1 per month 2.91  0.20  9.99 (5.75) 18.20 
688009Railway Signal Communication(0.14)1 per month 2.09  0.13  3.86 (3.43) 24.74 
002149Western Metal Materials 0.08 2 per month 2.06  0.16  6.29 (3.47) 15.58 
603239Zhejiang Xiantong RubberPlastic 0.00 0 per month 2.21  0.11  4.60 (3.05) 18.13 

Yunnan Yuntianhua Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Yunnan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yunnan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yunnan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Yunnan Yuntianhua Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Yunnan Yuntianhua stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yunnan Yuntianhua Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yunnan Yuntianhua based on analysis of Yunnan Yuntianhua hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Yunnan Yuntianhua's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yunnan Yuntianhua's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Yunnan Yuntianhua

The number of cover stories for Yunnan Yuntianhua depends on current market conditions and Yunnan Yuntianhua's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yunnan Yuntianhua is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yunnan Yuntianhua's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Yunnan Yuntianhua Short Properties

Yunnan Yuntianhua's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yunnan Yuntianhua's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yunnan Yuntianhua Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yunnan Yuntianhua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yunnan Yuntianhua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B

Complementary Tools for Yunnan Stock analysis

When running Yunnan Yuntianhua's price analysis, check to measure Yunnan Yuntianhua's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yunnan Yuntianhua is operating at the current time. Most of Yunnan Yuntianhua's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yunnan Yuntianhua's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yunnan Yuntianhua's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yunnan Yuntianhua to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data