Japan Post (Germany) Price Prediction

5JP Stock  EUR 8.65  0.10  1.14%   
The value of RSI of Japan Post's stock price is roughly 60. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Japan, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Japan Post's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Japan Post and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Japan Post's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Japan Post Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Japan Post hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Japan Post Bank from the perspective of Japan Post response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Japan Post to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Japan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Japan Post after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 8.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Japan Post Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.767.269.76
Details

Japan Post After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Japan Post at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Japan Post or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Japan Post, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Japan Post Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Japan Post's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Japan Post's historical news coverage. Japan Post's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.15 and 11.15, respectively. We have considered Japan Post's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.65
8.65
After-hype Price
11.15
Upside
Japan Post is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Japan Post Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

Japan Post Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Japan Post is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Japan Post backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Japan Post, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.50
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.65
8.65
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Japan Post Hype Timeline

Japan Post Bank is presently traded for 8.65on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Japan is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Japan Post is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.65. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.4. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Japan Post Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.61. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Japan Post Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Japan Post Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Japan Post's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Japan Post's future price movements. Getting to know how Japan Post's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Japan Post may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Japan Post Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Japan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Japan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Japan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Japan Post Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Japan Post stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Japan Post Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Japan Post based on analysis of Japan Post hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Japan Post's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Japan Post's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Japan Post

The number of cover stories for Japan Post depends on current market conditions and Japan Post's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Japan Post is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Japan Post's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Japan Post Short Properties

Japan Post's future price predictability will typically decrease when Japan Post's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Japan Post Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Japan Post's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Post's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 B

Complementary Tools for Japan Stock analysis

When running Japan Post's price analysis, check to measure Japan Post's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Japan Post is operating at the current time. Most of Japan Post's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Japan Post's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Japan Post's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Japan Post to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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