Rongcheer Industrial (China) Price Prediction

301360 Stock   60.05  2.10  3.62%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Rongcheer Industrial's share price is at 51. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rongcheer Industrial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

51

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rongcheer Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rongcheer Industrial Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rongcheer Industrial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
Using Rongcheer Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rongcheer Industrial Technology from the perspective of Rongcheer Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rongcheer Industrial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rongcheer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rongcheer Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 60.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Rongcheer Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9347.7366.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.1460.9465.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.2357.4760.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rongcheer Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rongcheer Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rongcheer Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rongcheer Industrial.

Rongcheer Industrial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rongcheer Industrial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rongcheer Industrial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rongcheer Industrial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rongcheer Industrial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rongcheer Industrial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rongcheer Industrial's historical news coverage. Rongcheer Industrial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.25 and 64.85, respectively. We have considered Rongcheer Industrial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
60.05
60.05
After-hype Price
64.85
Upside
Rongcheer Industrial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rongcheer Industrial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rongcheer Industrial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rongcheer Industrial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rongcheer Industrial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rongcheer Industrial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.68 
4.80
 0.00  
  2.01 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.05
60.05
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Rongcheer Industrial Hype Timeline

Rongcheer Industrial is presently traded for 60.05on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 2.01. Rongcheer is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rongcheer Industrial is about 162.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.06. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Rongcheer Industrial was presently reported as 21.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Rongcheer Industrial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Rongcheer Industrial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rongcheer Industrial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rongcheer Industrial's future price movements. Getting to know how Rongcheer Industrial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rongcheer Industrial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)2 per month 1.09  0.05  2.83 (2.29) 8.14 
600519Kweichow Moutai Co 33.78 1 per month 1.81  0.02  6.55 (2.98) 16.71 
601288Agricultural Bank of 0.00 0 per month 1.43  0.04  2.13 (2.19) 7.78 
600941China Mobile Limited 0.71 2 per month 1.06 (0) 2.05 (2.04) 8.38 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 1.30  0.07  3.32 (2.12) 8.64 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 1.97 (0.03) 3.55 (2.04) 17.17 
601988Bank of China 0.03 3 per month 1.17  0.03  2.67 (2.33) 7.70 
300750Contemporary Amperex Technology(5.26)1 per month 3.03  0.12  7.94 (3.41) 33.42 
601628China Life Insurance 0.66 1 per month 2.52  0.09  6.42 (3.94) 20.00 
600036China Merchants Bank(0.24)2 per month 1.80  0.08  4.65 (2.62) 13.83 

Rongcheer Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rongcheer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rongcheer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rongcheer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rongcheer Industrial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rongcheer Industrial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rongcheer Industrial Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rongcheer Industrial based on analysis of Rongcheer Industrial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rongcheer Industrial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rongcheer Industrial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Rongcheer Industrial

The number of cover stories for Rongcheer Industrial depends on current market conditions and Rongcheer Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rongcheer Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rongcheer Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Rongcheer Industrial Short Properties

Rongcheer Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rongcheer Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rongcheer Industrial Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rongcheer Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rongcheer Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.005
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.3
Shares Float13.7 M

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When running Rongcheer Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Rongcheer Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rongcheer Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Rongcheer Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rongcheer Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rongcheer Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rongcheer Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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