GUOMAI Culture (China) Price Prediction

301052 Stock   28.73  0.97  3.27%   
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of GUOMAI Culture's share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GUOMAI Culture, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GUOMAI Culture's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GUOMAI Culture Media, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GUOMAI Culture's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.715
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.495
Using GUOMAI Culture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GUOMAI Culture Media from the perspective of GUOMAI Culture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GUOMAI Culture to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GUOMAI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GUOMAI Culture after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 28.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out GUOMAI Culture Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2124.0531.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GUOMAI Culture. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GUOMAI Culture's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GUOMAI Culture's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GUOMAI Culture Media.

GUOMAI Culture After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GUOMAI Culture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GUOMAI Culture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GUOMAI Culture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GUOMAI Culture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GUOMAI Culture's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GUOMAI Culture's historical news coverage. GUOMAI Culture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.89 and 32.57, respectively. We have considered GUOMAI Culture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.73
28.73
After-hype Price
32.57
Upside
GUOMAI Culture is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GUOMAI Culture Media is based on 3 months time horizon.

GUOMAI Culture Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GUOMAI Culture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GUOMAI Culture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GUOMAI Culture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
3.84
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.73
28.73
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

GUOMAI Culture Hype Timeline

GUOMAI Culture Media is presently traded for 28.73on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. GUOMAI is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on GUOMAI Culture is about 1687.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.76. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of GUOMAI Culture was presently reported as 7.03. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of April 2024. GUOMAI Culture Media had 1.346753:1 split on the 1st of April 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out GUOMAI Culture Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GUOMAI Culture Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GUOMAI Culture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GUOMAI Culture's future price movements. Getting to know how GUOMAI Culture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GUOMAI Culture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600831Shaanxi Broadcast TV(0.05)1 per month 2.36  0.10  4.93 (4.78) 10.30 
508058CICC Fund Management(0.02)1 per month 0.51  0.28  2.92 (1.30) 6.41 
002249Zhongshan Broad Ocean Motor 0.06 1 per month 1.72  0.21  5.31 (3.04) 10.55 
002480Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge 0.00 0 per month 3.09  0.09  6.17 (5.22) 16.96 
002173Innovative Medical Management 0.83 4 per month 3.83  0.12  10.01 (6.82) 20.03 
508019Cicc Fund Management(0.03)1 per month 0.51  0.35  2.06 (1.20) 4.76 
002813Shenzhen RoadRover Technology 0.05 1 per month 0.00 (0) 4.20 (4.10) 13.29 
300550Heren Health Co 0.98 1 per month 3.60  0.06  6.22 (6.07) 18.34 

GUOMAI Culture Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GUOMAI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GUOMAI using various technical indicators. When you analyze GUOMAI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GUOMAI Culture Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GUOMAI Culture stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GUOMAI Culture Media, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GUOMAI Culture based on analysis of GUOMAI Culture hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GUOMAI Culture's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GUOMAI Culture's related companies.

Story Coverage note for GUOMAI Culture

The number of cover stories for GUOMAI Culture depends on current market conditions and GUOMAI Culture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GUOMAI Culture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GUOMAI Culture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

GUOMAI Culture Short Properties

GUOMAI Culture's future price predictability will typically decrease when GUOMAI Culture's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GUOMAI Culture Media often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GUOMAI Culture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GUOMAI Culture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding98 M

Complementary Tools for GUOMAI Stock analysis

When running GUOMAI Culture's price analysis, check to measure GUOMAI Culture's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GUOMAI Culture is operating at the current time. Most of GUOMAI Culture's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GUOMAI Culture's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GUOMAI Culture's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GUOMAI Culture to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets