Ligao Foods (China) Price Prediction

300973 Stock   45.20  0.40  0.88%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ligao Foods' stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ligao, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ligao Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ligao Foods CoLtd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ligao Foods' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.362
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5968
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.9558
Wall Street Target Price
43.058
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.52
Using Ligao Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ligao Foods CoLtd from the perspective of Ligao Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ligao Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ligao because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ligao Foods after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 45.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ligao Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.9642.8445.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.370.400.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ligao Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ligao Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ligao Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ligao Foods CoLtd.

Ligao Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ligao Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ligao Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ligao Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ligao Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ligao Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ligao Foods' historical news coverage. Ligao Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.32 and 48.08, respectively. We have considered Ligao Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
45.20
45.20
After-hype Price
48.08
Upside
Ligao Foods is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ligao Foods CoLtd is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ligao Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ligao Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ligao Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ligao Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
2.88
 0.00  
  0.09 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.20
45.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ligao Foods Hype Timeline

Ligao Foods CoLtd is presently traded for 45.20on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. Ligao is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ligao Foods is about 568.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.29. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Ligao Foods was presently reported as 15.19. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Ligao Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ligao Foods Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ligao Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ligao Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Ligao Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ligao Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
900941Eastern Communications Co(0.01)1 per month 1.57  0.06  2.63 (2.50) 7.57 
603236Quectel Wireless Solutions 0.38 3 per month 3.52  0.24  10.00 (6.18) 17.87 
300590Queclink Wireless Solutions 1.27 2 per month 3.46  0.09  5.76 (5.95) 20.74 
301408Anhui Huaren Health 1.22 1 per month 2.86  0.08  6.78 (6.09) 17.19 
600498Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies 0.57 3 per month 2.51  0.17  6.88 (4.43) 16.70 
300998Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile 0.00 0 per month 2.41  0.05  4.90 (4.07) 12.08 
605266Yunnan Jianzhijia Health Chain 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 4.13 (4.83) 12.34 
603579Shanghai Rongtai Health 0.62 1 per month 2.17  0.20  4.80 (4.22) 14.24 

Ligao Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ligao price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ligao using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ligao charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ligao Foods Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ligao Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ligao Foods CoLtd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ligao Foods based on analysis of Ligao Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ligao Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ligao Foods's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Ligao Foods

The number of cover stories for Ligao Foods depends on current market conditions and Ligao Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ligao Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ligao Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Ligao Foods Short Properties

Ligao Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ligao Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ligao Foods CoLtd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ligao Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ligao Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding169.3 M

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When running Ligao Foods' price analysis, check to measure Ligao Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ligao Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Ligao Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ligao Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ligao Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ligao Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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