Federal Corp (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 2102 Stock | TWD 19.40 0.25 1.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Federal Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federal Corp from the perspective of Federal Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federal Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federal Corp after-hype prediction price | TWD 19.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federal |
Federal Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federal Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federal Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Federal Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federal Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federal Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federal Corp's historical news coverage. Federal Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.50 and 20.80, respectively. We have considered Federal Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federal Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federal Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federal Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Federal Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federal Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federal Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.40 | 19.65 | 0.00 |
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Federal Corp Hype Timeline
Federal Corp is presently traded for 19.40on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Federal is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Federal Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.40. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.99. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Federal Corp recorded a loss per share of 4.9. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of November 2021. The firm had 1020:1000 split on the 2nd of August 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Federal Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federal Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federal Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federal Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Federal Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federal Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2101 | Nankang Rubber Tire | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.70 | (2.45) | 10.75 | |
| 2106 | Kenda Rubber Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.51 | (1.48) | 5.79 | |
| 2107 | Formosan Rubber Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.16) | 0.96 | (0.97) | 2.50 | |
| 2201 | Yulon Motor Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | (0.03) | 3.62 | (3.05) | 13.22 | |
| 1905 | Chung Hwa Pulp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.94 | (2.82) | 9.19 |
Federal Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Federal Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federal Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federal Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal Corp based on analysis of Federal Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federal Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federal Corp's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Federal Corp
The number of cover stories for Federal Corp depends on current market conditions and Federal Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federal Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federal Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Federal Corp Short Properties
Federal Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Federal Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Federal Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Federal Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 459.6 M |
Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis
When running Federal Corp's price analysis, check to measure Federal Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.