Dongguan Aohai (China) Price Prediction
| 002993 Stock | 47.60 1.50 3.25% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Wall Street Target Price 41 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 |
Using Dongguan Aohai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dongguan Aohai Technology from the perspective of Dongguan Aohai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dongguan Aohai to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dongguan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dongguan Aohai after-hype prediction price | CNY 48.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dongguan |
Dongguan Aohai After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dongguan Aohai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dongguan Aohai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dongguan Aohai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dongguan Aohai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dongguan Aohai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dongguan Aohai's historical news coverage. Dongguan Aohai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.33 and 52.29, respectively. We have considered Dongguan Aohai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dongguan Aohai is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dongguan Aohai Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dongguan Aohai Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dongguan Aohai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dongguan Aohai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dongguan Aohai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 3.98 | 0.71 | 0.04 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.60 | 48.31 | 1.49 |
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Dongguan Aohai Hype Timeline
Dongguan Aohai Technology is presently traded for 47.60on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Dongguan is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 48.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.49%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Dongguan Aohai is about 4643.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.64. The company reported the revenue of 5.17 B. Net Income was 440.94 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.22 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Dongguan Aohai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dongguan Aohai Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dongguan Aohai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dongguan Aohai's future price movements. Getting to know how Dongguan Aohai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dongguan Aohai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 000630 | Tongling Nonferrous Metals | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.11 | 0.11 | 2.03 | (1.55) | 5.92 | |
| 300512 | Hangzhou Zhongya Machinery | 0.43 | 2 per month | 2.79 | 0.08 | 3.78 | (5.22) | 25.59 | |
| 300590 | Queclink Wireless Solutions | 1.27 | 2 per month | 3.46 | 0.09 | 5.76 | (5.95) | 20.74 | |
| 605128 | Shanghai Yanpu Metal | (1.26) | 1 per month | 2.05 | 0.12 | 3.41 | (3.18) | 15.38 | |
| 603289 | Tederic Machinery Co | 0.16 | 1 per month | 2.61 | 0.04 | 2.96 | (3.39) | 15.87 | |
| 000831 | China Minmetals Rare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 3.48 | (2.79) | 12.91 | |
| 002757 | Nanxing Furniture Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.79 | 0.15 | 9.99 | (6.27) | 19.99 |
Dongguan Aohai Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dongguan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dongguan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dongguan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dongguan Aohai Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dongguan Aohai stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dongguan Aohai Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dongguan Aohai based on analysis of Dongguan Aohai hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dongguan Aohai's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dongguan Aohai's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Dongguan Aohai
The number of cover stories for Dongguan Aohai depends on current market conditions and Dongguan Aohai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dongguan Aohai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dongguan Aohai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dongguan Aohai Short Properties
Dongguan Aohai's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dongguan Aohai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dongguan Aohai Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dongguan Aohai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dongguan Aohai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 276 M |
Complementary Tools for Dongguan Stock analysis
When running Dongguan Aohai's price analysis, check to measure Dongguan Aohai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dongguan Aohai is operating at the current time. Most of Dongguan Aohai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dongguan Aohai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dongguan Aohai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dongguan Aohai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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