Xilong Chemical (China) Price Prediction
| 002584 Stock | 7.76 0.05 0.65% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.23 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Xilong Chemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xilong Chemical Co from the perspective of Xilong Chemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xilong Chemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xilong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xilong Chemical after-hype prediction price | CNY 7.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xilong |
Xilong Chemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xilong Chemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xilong Chemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xilong Chemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xilong Chemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xilong Chemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xilong Chemical's historical news coverage. Xilong Chemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.45 and 10.07, respectively. We have considered Xilong Chemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xilong Chemical is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xilong Chemical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xilong Chemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xilong Chemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xilong Chemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xilong Chemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.31 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.76 | 7.76 | 0.00 |
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Xilong Chemical Hype Timeline
Xilong Chemical is presently traded for 7.76on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.29. Xilong is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Xilong Chemical is about 88.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.05. About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Xilong Chemical last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2024. The entity had 25:10 split on the 27th of April 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Xilong Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xilong Chemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xilong Chemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xilong Chemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Xilong Chemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xilong Chemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600490 | Pengxin International Mining | 0.10 | 2 per month | 2.72 | 0.12 | 10.00 | (4.85) | 18.25 | |
| 603219 | Ningbo Fujia Industrial | (0.24) | 2 per month | 3.08 | 0.15 | 9.97 | (5.44) | 16.50 | |
| 001322 | Arrow Home Group | 0.10 | 4 per month | 2.20 | 0.07 | 4.01 | (3.88) | 12.54 | |
| 603326 | Nanjing OLO Home | 0.94 | 1 per month | 3.26 | 0.12 | 7.96 | (5.93) | 20.11 | |
| 688111 | Beijing Kingsoft Office | 19.72 | 5 per month | 2.39 | 0.12 | 7.96 | (3.55) | 25.30 | |
| 603816 | Jason Furniture | 0.77 | 3 per month | 2.20 | 0.05 | 3.11 | (3.84) | 11.95 | |
| 508027 | Soochow Suzhou Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | 0.29 | 2.45 | (1.11) | 6.41 | |
| 603979 | JCHX Mining Management | (0.42) | 3 per month | 1.46 | 0.14 | 3.88 | (2.36) | 8.60 |
Xilong Chemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xilong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xilong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xilong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xilong Chemical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xilong Chemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xilong Chemical Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xilong Chemical based on analysis of Xilong Chemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xilong Chemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xilong Chemical's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Xilong Chemical
The number of cover stories for Xilong Chemical depends on current market conditions and Xilong Chemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xilong Chemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xilong Chemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xilong Chemical Short Properties
Xilong Chemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xilong Chemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xilong Chemical Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xilong Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xilong Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 585.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 559.9 M |
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When running Xilong Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Xilong Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xilong Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Xilong Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xilong Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xilong Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xilong Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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