Hongrun Construction (China) Price Prediction
| 002062 Stock | 4.74 0.08 1.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 18 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Hongrun Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hongrun Construction Group from the perspective of Hongrun Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hongrun Construction to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hongrun because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hongrun Construction after-hype prediction price | CNY 4.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hongrun |
Hongrun Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hongrun Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hongrun Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hongrun Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hongrun Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hongrun Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hongrun Construction's historical news coverage. Hongrun Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.65 and 7.45, respectively. We have considered Hongrun Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hongrun Construction is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hongrun Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hongrun Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hongrun Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hongrun Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hongrun Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 2.90 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.74 | 4.55 | 2.36 |
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Hongrun Construction Hype Timeline
Hongrun Construction is presently traded for 4.74on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Hongrun is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -2.36%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on Hongrun Construction is about 2148.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.65. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.16. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Hongrun Construction last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2024. The entity had 14:10 split on the 29th of April 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Hongrun Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hongrun Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hongrun Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hongrun Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Hongrun Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hongrun Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601949 | China Publishing Media | 0.55 | 2 per month | 3.27 | 0.14 | 7.37 | (5.84) | 20.05 | |
| 600386 | Beijing Bashi Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.86 | 0.21 | 5.20 | (5.15) | 17.67 | |
| 603598 | Inly Media Co | (0.49) | 2 per month | 3.61 | 0.12 | 7.10 | (5.10) | 19.99 | |
| 002905 | Guangzhou Jinyi Media | (0.31) | 1 per month | 2.80 | 0.14 | 4.49 | (4.05) | 18.67 | |
| 600498 | Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies | (0.29) | 3 per month | 2.35 | 0.12 | 4.93 | (4.17) | 16.52 | |
| 600633 | Zhejiang Daily Media | (0.66) | 1 per month | 2.36 | 0.14 | 5.61 | (4.02) | 14.64 | |
| 001300 | Sportsoul Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.49 | 0.19 | 6.32 | (4.16) | 19.19 | |
| 601929 | JiShi Media Co | 0.12 | 1 per month | 3.26 | 0.24 | 9.70 | (5.41) | 20.01 |
Hongrun Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hongrun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hongrun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hongrun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hongrun Construction Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hongrun Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hongrun Construction Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hongrun Construction based on analysis of Hongrun Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hongrun Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hongrun Construction's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Hongrun Construction
The number of cover stories for Hongrun Construction depends on current market conditions and Hongrun Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hongrun Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hongrun Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hongrun Construction Short Properties
Hongrun Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hongrun Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hongrun Construction Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hongrun Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hongrun Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Hongrun Stock analysis
When running Hongrun Construction's price analysis, check to measure Hongrun Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hongrun Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Hongrun Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hongrun Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hongrun Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hongrun Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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