Vital Farms Stock Performance

VITL Stock  USD 31.59  0.65  2.10%   
The entity has a beta of 1.4, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vital Farms will likely underperform. At this point, Vital Farms has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to validate Vital Farms' maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Vital Farms performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vital Farms has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.2
Five Day Return
(0.97)
Year To Date Return
(18.59)
Ten Year Return
(10.32)
All Time Return
(10.32)
1
Acquisition by Matthew OHayer of 3613 shares of Vital Farms subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2025
2
Disposition of 500 shares by Matthew OHayer of Vital Farms at 44.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2025
3
Time To Build Backyard Chicken Coop As Wholesale Egg Prices Hit New Record Highs
02/04/2025
4
Disposition of 12500 shares by Matthew OHayer of Vital Farms at 35.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/19/2025
5
Acquisition by Diez-canseco Russell of 25640 shares of Vital Farms at 15.31 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/24/2025
6
Vital Farms Q4 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
02/27/2025
7
Vital Farms Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Record Revenue and Strategic Growth ...
02/28/2025
8
Acquisition by Thilo Wrede of 14659 shares of Vital Farms subject to Rule 16b-3
03/05/2025
9
Vital Farms Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
03/07/2025
10
Acquisition by Diez-canseco Russell of 52500 shares of Vital Farms at 5.3286 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/12/2025
11
Disposition of 4798 shares by Diez-canseco Russell of Vital Farms at 29.32 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/13/2025
12
Disposition of 52500 shares by Diez-canseco Russell of Vital Farms at 5.3286 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/14/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow84.1 M
Free Cash Flow36.2 M
  

Vital Farms Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,882  in Vital Farms on December 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (788.00) from holding Vital Farms or give up 20.3% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vital Farms is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.6707% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 32% of stocks are less volatile than Vital, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vital Farms is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of volatility.

Vital Farms Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vital Farms' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Vital Farms, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Vital Farms' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0846

Best PortfolioBest Equity
Good Returns
Average Returns
Small Returns
CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsVITL

Estimated Market Risk

 3.67
  actual daily
32
68% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.31
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.08
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Vital Farms is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Vital Farms by adding Vital Farms to a well-diversified portfolio.

Vital Farms Fundamentals Growth

Vital Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vital Farms, and Vital Farms fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vital Stock performance.

About Vital Farms Performance

By examining Vital Farms' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Vital Farms' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Vital Farms is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 34.91  26.89 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.26 

Things to note about Vital Farms performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vital Farms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vital Farms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vital Farms generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vital Farms has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 52500 shares by Diez-canseco Russell of Vital Farms at 5.3286 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Vital Farms' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vital Farms' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vital Farms' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vital Farms' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vital Farms' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vital Farms' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vital Farms' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vital Farms' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vital Farms' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vital Farms' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vital Farms' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Vital Farms is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vital Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vital Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vital Farms. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to buy in Vital Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Farms. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.363
Earnings Share
1.18
Revenue Per Share
14.15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.222
Return On Assets
0.1252
The market value of Vital Farms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.