First Merchants Stock Performance

FRME Stock  USD 40.31  1.24  3.17%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.93, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Merchants returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Merchants is expected to follow. At this point, First Merchants has a negative expected return of -0.0672%. Please make sure to confirm First Merchants' skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator , to decide if First Merchants performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days First Merchants has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound primary indicators, First Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.17
Five Day Return
(0.81)
Year To Date Return
3.12
Ten Year Return
69.94
All Time Return
570.72
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0347
Payout Ratio
0.4154
Last Split Factor
105:100
Forward Dividend Rate
1.4
Dividend Date
2025-03-21
1
Acquisition by Lehman Gary of 657 shares of First Merchants at 33.29 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2024
2
Acquisition by Mark Hardwick of tradable shares of First Merchants subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2024
3
Acquisition by Wojtowicz Jean L of 1500 shares of First Merchants at 21.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/27/2024
4
Acquisition by Chiang Mung of 567 shares of First Merchants at .89 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2024
5
Commerce Bancshares Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
01/22/2025
6
Acquisition by Sondhi Jason R of 671 shares of First Merchants at 34.9 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2025
7
First Merchants GAAP EPS of 1.10 beats by 0.15, revenue of 177.11M beats by 9.27M
01/30/2025
8
First Merchants declares 0.35 dividend
02/07/2025
9
First Merchants Corp Increases Stock Position in Texas Instruments Incorporated
02/14/2025
10
How Are Institutional Investors Driving Growth in Meta Platforms
02/20/2025
11
Old Second boosts Chicago-area footprint in 197M Evergreen deal
02/26/2025
12
Acquisition by Kellogg Clark C of 649 shares of First Merchants at 34.9 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/04/2025
13
First Merchants Co. to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.35 on March 21st
03/05/2025
14
Acquisition by Michael Stewart of tradable shares of First Merchants at 28.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/07/2025
15
How the price action is used to our Advantage - Stock Traders Daily
03/10/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow112.6 M
  

First Merchants Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,238  in First Merchants on December 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (207.00) from holding First Merchants or give up 4.88% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Merchants is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.7318% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Merchants is expected to generate 1.92 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.92 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

First Merchants Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Merchants' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as First Merchants, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a First Merchants' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0388

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Estimated Market Risk

 1.73
  actual daily
15
85% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.07
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average First Merchants is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of First Merchants by adding First Merchants to a well-diversified portfolio.

First Merchants Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Merchants, and First Merchants fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Merchants Performance

By analyzing First Merchants' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Merchants' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Merchants has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Merchants has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.10 

Things to note about First Merchants performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Merchants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Merchants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Merchants generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Merchants has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: How the price action is used to our Advantage - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating First Merchants' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Merchants' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Merchants' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Merchants' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Merchants' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Merchants' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Merchants' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Merchants' stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Merchants' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Merchants' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Merchants' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running First Merchants' price analysis, check to measure First Merchants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Merchants is operating at the current time. Most of First Merchants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Merchants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Merchants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Merchants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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