Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Value and Broad Cap Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Broad Cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Broad is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Value and Broad Cap Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Broad Cap Value and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Value are associated (or correlated) with Broad Cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Broad Cap Value has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Value is expected to under-perform the Broad Cap. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Small Cap Value is 1.01 times less risky than Broad Cap. The mutual fund trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Broad Cap Value is currently generating about -0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,487  in Broad Cap Value on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (43.00) from holding Broad Cap Value or give up 2.89% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Value  vs.  Broad Cap Value

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Small Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Broad Cap Value 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Broad Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Broad Cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Broad Cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Broad Cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Broad Cap will offset losses from the drop in Broad Cap's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Value and Broad Cap Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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