Vanguard Small Cap Value Fund Market Value

VISVX Fund  USD 47.45  0.02  0.04%   
Vanguard Small-cap's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Small-cap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Small Cap Value investors about its performance. Vanguard Small-cap is trading at 47.45 as of the 26th of February 2025; that is 0.04 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 47.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Small Cap Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Small-cap over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Small-cap Correlation, Vanguard Small-cap Volatility and Vanguard Small-cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Small-cap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Small-cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Small-cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Small-cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Small-cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Small-cap.
0.00
01/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Small-cap on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Small Cap Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Small-cap over 30 days. Vanguard Small-cap is related to or competes with Lord Abbett, Elfun Diversified, Aqr Diversified, Harbor Diversified, Lord Abbett, Diversified Real, and Fidelity Advisor. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP US Small Cap Value Index,... More

Vanguard Small-cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Small Cap Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Small-cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Small-cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Small-cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Small-cap historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Small-cap's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Small-cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.5447.4548.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.2846.1952.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.7847.6948.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.2748.6149.96
Details

Vanguard Small Cap Backtested Returns

Vanguard Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which indicates the fund had a -0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Small Cap Value exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Small-cap's Coefficient Of Variation of (667.42), variance of 0.8312, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.009, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Small-cap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Small-cap is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

Vanguard Small Cap Value has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Small-cap time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Vanguard Small-cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.45

Vanguard Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Small-cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Small-cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Small-cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Small-cap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Small-cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Small-cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Small-cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Small-cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Small Cap Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Small-cap security.
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