Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Value and Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Profunds Ultrashort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort

-0.91
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Profunds is -0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Value and Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Profunds Ultrashort and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Value are associated (or correlated) with Profunds Ultrashort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Profunds Ultrashort has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Value is expected to under-perform the Profunds Ultrashort. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Small Cap Value is 2.74 times less risky than Profunds Ultrashort. The mutual fund trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100 is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,246  in Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100 on December 22, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  385.00  from holding Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100 or generate 17.14% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Value  vs.  Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Small Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Profunds Ultrashort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100 are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Profunds Ultrashort showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Profunds Ultrashort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Profunds Ultrashort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Profunds Ultrashort will offset losses from the drop in Profunds Ultrashort's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Value and Profunds Ultrashort Nasdaq 100 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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