Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Value and Northern Small Cap, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Northern Small. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

0.49
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Northern is 0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Value and Northern Small Cap in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Northern Small Cap and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Value are associated (or correlated) with Northern Small. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Northern Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Value is expected to generate 0.2 times more return on investment than Northern Small. However, Vanguard Small Cap Value is 4.93 times less risky than Northern Small. It trades about -0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Northern Small Cap is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  5,077  in Vanguard Small Cap Value on December 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (524.00) from holding Vanguard Small Cap Value or give up 10.32% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Value  vs.  Northern Small Cap

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Small Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.
Northern Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Northern Small Cap has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Northern Small positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Northern Small can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northern Small will offset losses from the drop in Northern Small's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Value and Northern Small Cap pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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