Correlation Between Valneva SE and United Fire

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valneva SE and United Fire at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valneva SE and United Fire into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valneva SE ADR and United Fire Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valneva SE and United Fire and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valneva SE with a short position of United Fire. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valneva SE and United Fire.

Diversification Opportunities for Valneva SE and United Fire

-0.97

Correlation Coefficient

Valneva SE  United Fire

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Valneva and United is -0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valneva SE ADR and United Fire Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United Fire Group and Valneva SE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valneva SE ADR are associated (or correlated) with United Fire. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United Fire Group has no effect on the direction of Valneva SE i.e., Valneva SE and United Fire go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valneva SE and United Fire

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Valneva SE ADR is expected to under-perform the United Fire. In addition to that, Valneva SE is 1.15 times more volatile than United Fire Group. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. United Fire Group is currently generating about 0.1 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,086  in United Fire Group on September 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  824.00  from holding United Fire Group or generate 39.5% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Valneva SE ADR  vs.  United Fire Group

Valneva SE ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Valneva SE ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

United Fire Group

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Fire Group are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak fundamental indicators, United Fire unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Valneva SE and United Fire

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valneva SE and United Fire positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valneva SE position performs unexpectedly, United Fire can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United Fire will offset losses from the drop in United Fire's long position.

The idea behind Valneva SE ADR and United Fire Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.