Correlation Between Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valneva SE ADR and Supernus Pharmaceuticals, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valneva SE with a short position of Supernus Pharmaceuticals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals.

Diversification Opportunities for Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

-0.76
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Valneva and Supernus is -0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valneva SE ADR and Supernus Pharmaceuticals in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Supernus Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valneva SE ADR are associated (or correlated) with Supernus Pharmaceuticals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Supernus Pharmaceuticals has no effect on the direction of Valneva SE i.e., Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Valneva SE ADR is expected to generate 4.85 times more return on investment than Supernus Pharmaceuticals. However, Valneva SE is 4.85 times more volatile than Supernus Pharmaceuticals. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Supernus Pharmaceuticals is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  430.00  in Valneva SE ADR on September 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (11.00) from holding Valneva SE ADR or give up 2.56% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Valneva SE ADR  vs.  Supernus Pharmaceuticals

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Valneva SE ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Valneva SE ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
Supernus Pharmaceuticals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Supernus Pharmaceuticals are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent basic indicators, Supernus Pharmaceuticals displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valneva SE position performs unexpectedly, Supernus Pharmaceuticals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Supernus Pharmaceuticals will offset losses from the drop in Supernus Pharmaceuticals' long position.
The idea behind Valneva SE ADR and Supernus Pharmaceuticals pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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