Correlation Between 90331HPL1 and Ardagh

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 90331HPL1 and Ardagh at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 90331HPL1 and Ardagh into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between US BANK NATIONAL and Ardagh Packaging Finance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 90331HPL1 and Ardagh and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 90331HPL1 with a short position of Ardagh. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 90331HPL1 and Ardagh.

Diversification Opportunities for 90331HPL1 and Ardagh

0.05
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between 90331HPL1 and Ardagh is 0.05. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US BANK NATIONAL and Ardagh Packaging Finance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ardagh Packaging Finance and 90331HPL1 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US BANK NATIONAL are associated (or correlated) with Ardagh. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ardagh Packaging Finance has no effect on the direction of 90331HPL1 i.e., 90331HPL1 and Ardagh go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between 90331HPL1 and Ardagh

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon US BANK NATIONAL is expected to under-perform the Ardagh. But the bond apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, US BANK NATIONAL is 11.75 times less risky than Ardagh. The bond trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ardagh Packaging Finance is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,039  in Ardagh Packaging Finance on October 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,239) from holding Ardagh Packaging Finance or give up 17.6% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy91.18%
ValuesDaily Returns

US BANK NATIONAL  vs.  Ardagh Packaging Finance

 Performance 
       Timeline  
US BANK NATIONAL 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US BANK NATIONAL has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Bond's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for US BANK NATIONAL investors.
Ardagh Packaging Finance 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ardagh Packaging Finance has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Ardagh is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

90331HPL1 and Ardagh Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with 90331HPL1 and Ardagh

The main advantage of trading using opposite 90331HPL1 and Ardagh positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 90331HPL1 position performs unexpectedly, Ardagh can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh will offset losses from the drop in Ardagh's long position.
The idea behind US BANK NATIONAL and Ardagh Packaging Finance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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