Correlation Between NISOURCE and United Fire

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NISOURCE and United Fire at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NISOURCE and United Fire into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between NISOURCE FIN P and United Fire Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NISOURCE and United Fire and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NISOURCE with a short position of United Fire. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NISOURCE and United Fire.

Diversification Opportunities for NISOURCE and United Fire

-0.53

Correlation Coefficient

NISOURCE  United Fire

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between NISOURCE and United is -0.53. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NISOURCE FIN P and United Fire Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United Fire Group and NISOURCE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NISOURCE FIN P are associated (or correlated) with United Fire. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United Fire Group has no effect on the direction of NISOURCE i.e., NISOURCE and United Fire go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NISOURCE and United Fire

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NISOURCE FIN P is expected to under-perform the United Fire. But the bond apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, NISOURCE FIN P is 2.6 times less risky than United Fire. The bond trades about -0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The United Fire Group is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,956  in United Fire Group on October 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  594.00  from holding United Fire Group or generate 30.37% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	59.32%
Values	Daily Returns

NISOURCE FIN P  vs.  United Fire Group

NISOURCE FIN P

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days NISOURCE FIN P has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Bond's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for NISOURCE FIN P investors.

United Fire Group

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Fire Group are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak fundamental indicators, United Fire unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with NISOURCE and United Fire

The main advantage of trading using opposite NISOURCE and United Fire positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NISOURCE position performs unexpectedly, United Fire can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United Fire will offset losses from the drop in United Fire's long position.

The idea behind NISOURCE FIN P and United Fire Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.