Correlation Between ALLSTATE and Direct Line

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ALLSTATE and Direct Line at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ALLSTATE and Direct Line into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ALLSTATE P 42 and Direct Line Insurance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ALLSTATE and Direct Line and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ALLSTATE with a short position of Direct Line. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ALLSTATE and Direct Line.

Diversification Opportunities for ALLSTATE and Direct Line

-0.38
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ALLSTATE and Direct is -0.38. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ALLSTATE P 42 and Direct Line Insurance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direct Line Insurance and ALLSTATE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ALLSTATE P 42 are associated (or correlated) with Direct Line. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direct Line Insurance has no effect on the direction of ALLSTATE i.e., ALLSTATE and Direct Line go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ALLSTATE and Direct Line

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ALLSTATE P 42 is expected to under-perform the Direct Line. But the bond apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ALLSTATE P 42 is 2.55 times less risky than Direct Line. The bond trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Direct Line Insurance is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,265  in Direct Line Insurance on December 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  195.00  from holding Direct Line Insurance or generate 15.42% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy78.33%
ValuesDaily Returns

ALLSTATE P 42  vs.  Direct Line Insurance

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ALLSTATE P 42 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ALLSTATE P 42 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, ALLSTATE is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Direct Line Insurance 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direct Line Insurance are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Direct Line showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ALLSTATE and Direct Line Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ALLSTATE and Direct Line

The main advantage of trading using opposite ALLSTATE and Direct Line positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ALLSTATE position performs unexpectedly, Direct Line can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direct Line will offset losses from the drop in Direct Line's long position.
The idea behind ALLSTATE P 42 and Direct Line Insurance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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