Correlation Between Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Jaya Milk and Siantar Top Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Jaya with a short position of Siantar Top. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top

0.43
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Siantar is 0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Jaya Milk and Siantar Top Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Siantar Top Tbk and Ultra Jaya is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Jaya Milk are associated (or correlated) with Siantar Top. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Siantar Top Tbk has no effect on the direction of Ultra Jaya i.e., Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ultra Jaya Milk is expected to under-perform the Siantar Top. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ultra Jaya Milk is 2.15 times less risky than Siantar Top. The stock trades about -0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Siantar Top Tbk is currently generating about -0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,352,500  in Siantar Top Tbk on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (167,500) from holding Siantar Top Tbk or give up 12.38% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Jaya Milk  vs.  Siantar Top Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Jaya Milk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ultra Jaya Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Siantar Top Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Siantar Top Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Jaya and Siantar Top positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Jaya position performs unexpectedly, Siantar Top can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Siantar Top will offset losses from the drop in Siantar Top's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Jaya Milk and Siantar Top Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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