Ultra Jaya (Indonesia) Performance

ULTJ Stock  IDR 1,355  20.00  1.45%   
The entity has a beta of 0.23, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ultra Jaya's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ultra Jaya is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ultra Jaya Milk has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to validate Ultra Jaya's potential upside, kurtosis, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the skewness and accumulation distribution , to decide if Ultra Jaya Milk performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Ultra Jaya Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.6 T
Total Cashflows From Investing ActivitiesT
  

Ultra Jaya Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  166,000  in Ultra Jaya Milk on December 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (30,500) from holding Ultra Jaya Milk or give up 18.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ultra Jaya Milk is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.1409% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Ultra, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
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Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ultra Jaya is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Ultra Jaya Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ultra Jaya's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Ultra Jaya Milk, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ultra Jaya's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1526

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Negative ReturnsULTJ

Estimated Market Risk

 2.14
  actual daily
19
81% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.33
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.15
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Ultra Jaya is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ultra Jaya by adding Ultra Jaya to a well-diversified portfolio.

Ultra Jaya Fundamentals Growth

Ultra Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ultra Jaya, and Ultra Jaya fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ultra Stock performance.

About Ultra Jaya Performance

By examining Ultra Jaya's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Ultra Jaya's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Ultra Jaya is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Ultra Jaya Milk performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ultra Jaya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ultra Jaya Milk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ultra Jaya Milk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Evaluating Ultra Jaya's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ultra Jaya's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ultra Jaya's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ultra Jaya's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ultra Jaya's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ultra Jaya's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ultra Jaya's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ultra Jaya's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ultra Jaya's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ultra Jaya's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ultra Jaya's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Ultra Stock

Ultra Jaya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ultra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ultra with respect to the benefits of owning Ultra Jaya security.