Correlation Between Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Jaya Milk and Astra Agro Lestari, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Jaya with a short position of Astra Agro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro

0.54
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Astra is 0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Jaya Milk and Astra Agro Lestari in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Astra Agro Lestari and Ultra Jaya is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Jaya Milk are associated (or correlated) with Astra Agro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Astra Agro Lestari has no effect on the direction of Ultra Jaya i.e., Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ultra Jaya Milk is expected to generate 1.25 times more return on investment than Astra Agro. However, Ultra Jaya is 1.25 times more volatile than Astra Agro Lestari. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Astra Agro Lestari is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  180,000  in Ultra Jaya Milk on October 10, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Ultra Jaya Milk or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Jaya Milk  vs.  Astra Agro Lestari

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Jaya Milk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ultra Jaya Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Ultra Jaya is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Astra Agro Lestari 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Astra Agro Lestari has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Jaya and Astra Agro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Jaya position performs unexpectedly, Astra Agro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Astra Agro will offset losses from the drop in Astra Agro's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Jaya Milk and Astra Agro Lestari pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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