Correlation Between United Fire and HCI

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both United Fire and HCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining United Fire and HCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between United Fire Group and HCI Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on United Fire and HCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in United Fire with a short position of HCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of United Fire and HCI.

Diversification Opportunities for United Fire and HCI

-0.5

Correlation Coefficient

United Fire  HCI

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between United and HCI is -0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding United Fire Group and HCI Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on HCI Group and United Fire is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on United Fire Group are associated (or correlated) with HCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of HCI Group has no effect on the direction of United Fire i.e., United Fire and HCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between United Fire and HCI

Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Fire Group is expected to under-perform the HCI. In addition to that, United Fire is 1.05 times more volatile than HCI Group. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. HCI Group is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  12,333  in HCI Group on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  833.00  from holding HCI Group or generate 6.75% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

United Fire Group  vs.  HCI Group

United Fire Group

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days United Fire Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

HCI Group

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in HCI Group are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady fundamental indicators, HCI may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with United Fire and HCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite United Fire and HCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if United Fire position performs unexpectedly, HCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HCI will offset losses from the drop in HCI's long position.

The idea behind United Fire Group and HCI Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.