Correlation Between Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Timah Persero Tbk and Vale Indonesia Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Timah Persero with a short position of Vale Indonesia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia.

Diversification Opportunities for Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Timah and Vale is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timah Persero Tbk and Vale Indonesia Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vale Indonesia Tbk and Timah Persero is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Timah Persero Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Vale Indonesia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vale Indonesia Tbk has no effect on the direction of Timah Persero i.e., Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Timah Persero Tbk is expected to generate 1.1 times more return on investment than Vale Indonesia. However, Timah Persero is 1.1 times more volatile than Vale Indonesia Tbk. It trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vale Indonesia Tbk is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  112,500  in Timah Persero Tbk on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12,500) from holding Timah Persero Tbk or give up 11.11% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Timah Persero Tbk  vs.  Vale Indonesia Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Timah Persero Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Timah Persero Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.
Vale Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vale Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia

The main advantage of trading using opposite Timah Persero and Vale Indonesia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Timah Persero position performs unexpectedly, Vale Indonesia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vale Indonesia will offset losses from the drop in Vale Indonesia's long position.
The idea behind Timah Persero Tbk and Vale Indonesia Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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