Correlation Between Timah Persero and Astra Agro

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Timah Persero and Astra Agro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Timah Persero and Astra Agro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Timah Persero Tbk and Astra Agro Lestari, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Timah Persero and Astra Agro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Timah Persero with a short position of Astra Agro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Timah Persero and Astra Agro.

Diversification Opportunities for Timah Persero and Astra Agro

0.76

Correlation Coefficient

Timah Persero  Astra Agro

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Timah and Astra is 0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timah Persero Tbk and Astra Agro Lestari in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Astra Agro Lestari and Timah Persero is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Timah Persero Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Astra Agro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Astra Agro Lestari has no effect on the direction of Timah Persero i.e., Timah Persero and Astra Agro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Timah Persero and Astra Agro

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Timah Persero Tbk is expected to under-perform the Astra Agro. In addition to that, Timah Persero is 2.23 times more volatile than Astra Agro Lestari. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Astra Agro Lestari is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  612,500  in Astra Agro Lestari on December 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (67,500) from holding Astra Agro Lestari or give up 11.02% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Timah Persero Tbk  vs.  Astra Agro Lestari

Timah Persero Tbk

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Timah Persero Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Astra Agro Lestari

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Astra Agro Lestari has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Pair Trading with Timah Persero and Astra Agro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Timah Persero and Astra Agro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Timah Persero position performs unexpectedly, Astra Agro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Astra Agro will offset losses from the drop in Astra Agro's long position.

The idea behind Timah Persero Tbk and Astra Agro Lestari pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.