Correlation Between Triumph Financial and First Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Triumph Financial and First Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Triumph Financial and First Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Triumph Financial and First Financial Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Triumph Financial and First Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Triumph Financial with a short position of First Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Triumph Financial and First Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Triumph Financial and First Financial

0.02
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Triumph and First is 0.02. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Triumph Financial and First Financial Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Financial Bancorp and Triumph Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Triumph Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Financial Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Triumph Financial i.e., Triumph Financial and First Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Triumph Financial and First Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Triumph Financial is expected to under-perform the First Financial. In addition to that, Triumph Financial is 1.71 times more volatile than First Financial Bancorp. It trades about -0.29 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Financial Bancorp is currently generating about -0.1 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,888  in First Financial Bancorp on December 4, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (294.00) from holding First Financial Bancorp or give up 10.18% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Triumph Financial  vs.  First Financial Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Triumph Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Triumph Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
First Financial Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Financial Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

Triumph Financial and First Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Triumph Financial and First Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Triumph Financial and First Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Triumph Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Financial will offset losses from the drop in First Financial's long position.
The idea behind Triumph Financial and First Financial Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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