Correlation Between Toronto Dominion and First Mid

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Toronto Dominion and First Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Toronto Dominion and First Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Toronto Dominion Bank and First Mid Illinois, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Toronto Dominion and First Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Toronto Dominion with a short position of First Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Toronto Dominion and First Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for Toronto Dominion and First Mid

-0.5
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Toronto and First is -0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Toronto Dominion Bank and First Mid Illinois in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Mid Illinois and Toronto Dominion is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Toronto Dominion Bank are associated (or correlated) with First Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Mid Illinois has no effect on the direction of Toronto Dominion i.e., Toronto Dominion and First Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Toronto Dominion and First Mid

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Toronto Dominion Bank is expected to under-perform the First Mid. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Toronto Dominion Bank is 1.98 times less risky than First Mid. The stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Mid Illinois is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,903  in First Mid Illinois on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  325.00  from holding First Mid Illinois or generate 8.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Toronto Dominion Bank  vs.  First Mid Illinois

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Toronto Dominion Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Toronto Dominion Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Toronto Dominion is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Mid Illinois are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady fundamental drivers, First Mid may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Toronto Dominion and First Mid Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Toronto Dominion and First Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite Toronto Dominion and First Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Toronto Dominion position performs unexpectedly, First Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Mid will offset losses from the drop in First Mid's long position.
The idea behind Toronto Dominion Bank and First Mid Illinois pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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