Correlation Between Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Mandom Indonesia Tbk and Ultra Jaya Milk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Mandom Indonesia with a short position of Ultra Jaya. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya.

Diversification Opportunities for Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Mandom and Ultra is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mandom Indonesia Tbk and Ultra Jaya Milk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultra Jaya Milk and Mandom Indonesia is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Mandom Indonesia Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Ultra Jaya. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultra Jaya Milk has no effect on the direction of Mandom Indonesia i.e., Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mandom Indonesia Tbk is expected to under-perform the Ultra Jaya. In addition to that, Mandom Indonesia is 1.38 times more volatile than Ultra Jaya Milk. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultra Jaya Milk is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  180,500  in Ultra Jaya Milk on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (32,500) from holding Ultra Jaya Milk or give up 18.01% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Mandom Indonesia Tbk  vs.  Ultra Jaya Milk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Mandom Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mandom Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Ultra Jaya Milk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ultra Jaya Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya

The main advantage of trading using opposite Mandom Indonesia and Ultra Jaya positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Mandom Indonesia position performs unexpectedly, Ultra Jaya can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultra Jaya will offset losses from the drop in Ultra Jaya's long position.
The idea behind Mandom Indonesia Tbk and Ultra Jaya Milk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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