Correlation Between Third Coast and Orange County

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Third Coast and Orange County at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Third Coast and Orange County into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Third Coast Bancshares and Orange County Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Third Coast and Orange County and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Third Coast with a short position of Orange County. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Third Coast and Orange County.

Diversification Opportunities for Third Coast and Orange County

0.34
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Third and Orange is 0.34. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Third Coast Bancshares and Orange County Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orange County Bancorp and Third Coast is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Third Coast Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Orange County. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orange County Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Third Coast i.e., Third Coast and Orange County go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Third Coast and Orange County

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Third Coast Bancshares is expected to generate 1.2 times more return on investment than Orange County. However, Third Coast is 1.2 times more volatile than Orange County Bancorp. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Orange County Bancorp is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,413  in Third Coast Bancshares on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding Third Coast Bancshares or give up 0.06% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Third Coast Bancshares  vs.  Orange County Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Third Coast Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Third Coast Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, Third Coast is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Orange County Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Orange County Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

Third Coast and Orange County Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Third Coast and Orange County

The main advantage of trading using opposite Third Coast and Orange County positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Third Coast position performs unexpectedly, Orange County can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orange County will offset losses from the drop in Orange County's long position.
The idea behind Third Coast Bancshares and Orange County Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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