Correlation Between Spire and Northwest Natural

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Spire and Northwest Natural at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Spire and Northwest Natural into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Spire Inc and Northwest Natural Gas, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Spire and Northwest Natural and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Spire with a short position of Northwest Natural. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Spire and Northwest Natural.

Diversification Opportunities for Spire and Northwest Natural

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Spire and Northwest is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Spire Inc and Northwest Natural Gas in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Northwest Natural Gas and Spire is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Spire Inc are associated (or correlated) with Northwest Natural. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Northwest Natural Gas has no effect on the direction of Spire i.e., Spire and Northwest Natural go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Spire and Northwest Natural

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Spire Inc is expected to generate 1.05 times more return on investment than Northwest Natural. However, Spire is 1.05 times more volatile than Northwest Natural Gas. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Northwest Natural Gas is currently generating about 0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,676  in Spire Inc on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,144  from holding Spire Inc or generate 17.14% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Spire Inc  vs.  Northwest Natural Gas

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Spire Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Spire Inc are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Spire reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Northwest Natural Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northwest Natural Gas are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting basic indicators, Northwest Natural may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Spire and Northwest Natural Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Spire and Northwest Natural

The main advantage of trading using opposite Spire and Northwest Natural positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Spire position performs unexpectedly, Northwest Natural can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northwest Natural will offset losses from the drop in Northwest Natural's long position.
The idea behind Spire Inc and Northwest Natural Gas pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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