Correlation Between Shell PLC and National Fuel

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Shell PLC and National Fuel at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Shell PLC and National Fuel into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Shell PLC ADR and National Fuel Gas, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Shell PLC and National Fuel and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Shell PLC with a short position of National Fuel. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Shell PLC and National Fuel.

Diversification Opportunities for Shell PLC and National Fuel

0.9

Correlation Coefficient

Shell PLC  National Fuel

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Shell and National is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Shell PLC ADR and National Fuel Gas in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Fuel Gas and Shell PLC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Shell PLC ADR are associated (or correlated) with National Fuel. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Fuel Gas has no effect on the direction of Shell PLC i.e., Shell PLC and National Fuel go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Shell PLC and National Fuel

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Shell PLC is expected to generate 1.52 times less return on investment than National Fuel. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Shell PLC ADR is 1.01 times less risky than National Fuel. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Fuel Gas is currently generating about 0.4 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,044  in National Fuel Gas on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,836  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 30.38% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Shell PLC ADR  vs.  National Fuel Gas

Shell PLC ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Shell PLC ADR are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Shell PLC disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

National Fuel Gas

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Strong

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 31 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Shell PLC and National Fuel

The main advantage of trading using opposite Shell PLC and National Fuel positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Shell PLC position performs unexpectedly, National Fuel can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Fuel will offset losses from the drop in National Fuel's long position.

The idea behind Shell PLC ADR and National Fuel Gas pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.