Correlation Between Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Freightcar America with a short position of Norfolk Southern. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern.

Diversification Opportunities for Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern

0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Freightcar and Norfolk is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Norfolk Southern and Freightcar America is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Freightcar America are associated (or correlated) with Norfolk Southern. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Norfolk Southern has no effect on the direction of Freightcar America i.e., Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Freightcar America is expected to under-perform the Norfolk Southern. In addition to that, Freightcar America is 3.98 times more volatile than Norfolk Southern. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Norfolk Southern is currently generating about 0.0 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  23,224  in Norfolk Southern on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (169.00) from holding Norfolk Southern or give up 0.73% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Freightcar America  vs.  Norfolk Southern

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Freightcar America 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Freightcar America has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Norfolk Southern 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Norfolk Southern has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Norfolk Southern is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern

The main advantage of trading using opposite Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Freightcar America position performs unexpectedly, Norfolk Southern can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Norfolk Southern will offset losses from the drop in Norfolk Southern's long position.
The idea behind Freightcar America and Norfolk Southern pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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