Correlation Between Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Douglas Dynamics with a short position of Freightcar America. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America.

Diversification Opportunities for Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America

0.24
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Douglas and Freightcar is 0.24. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Freightcar America and Douglas Dynamics is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Douglas Dynamics are associated (or correlated) with Freightcar America. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Freightcar America has no effect on the direction of Douglas Dynamics i.e., Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Douglas Dynamics is expected to generate 0.31 times more return on investment than Freightcar America. However, Douglas Dynamics is 3.19 times less risky than Freightcar America. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Freightcar America is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,312  in Douglas Dynamics on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding Douglas Dynamics or generate 0.43% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Douglas Dynamics  vs.  Freightcar America

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Douglas Dynamics 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Douglas Dynamics has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Douglas Dynamics is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.
Freightcar America 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Freightcar America has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America

The main advantage of trading using opposite Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Douglas Dynamics position performs unexpectedly, Freightcar America can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Freightcar America will offset losses from the drop in Freightcar America's long position.
The idea behind Douglas Dynamics and Freightcar America pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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