Correlation Between Potbelly and First Watch

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Potbelly and First Watch at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Potbelly and First Watch into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Potbelly Co and First Watch Restaurant, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Potbelly and First Watch and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Potbelly with a short position of First Watch. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Potbelly and First Watch.

Diversification Opportunities for Potbelly and First Watch

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Potbelly and First is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Potbelly Co and First Watch Restaurant in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Watch Restaurant and Potbelly is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Potbelly Co are associated (or correlated) with First Watch. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Watch Restaurant has no effect on the direction of Potbelly i.e., Potbelly and First Watch go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Potbelly and First Watch

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Potbelly Co is expected to generate 1.31 times more return on investment than First Watch. However, Potbelly is 1.31 times more volatile than First Watch Restaurant. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Watch Restaurant is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  925.00  in Potbelly Co on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding Potbelly Co or generate 0.97% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Potbelly Co  vs.  First Watch Restaurant

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Potbelly 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Potbelly Co are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Potbelly may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
First Watch Restaurant 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Watch Restaurant has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Potbelly and First Watch Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Potbelly and First Watch

The main advantage of trading using opposite Potbelly and First Watch positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Potbelly position performs unexpectedly, First Watch can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Watch will offset losses from the drop in First Watch's long position.
The idea behind Potbelly Co and First Watch Restaurant pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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